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2024-12-14 09:54:56

Holzmann, a hawkish official of the European Central Bank: It is not the central bank's responsibility to boost the economy. Robert Holzmann, the ECB's governing board, said that it is wrong to think that the ECB's interest rate cut is simply to boost the economy. "It is not the responsibility of the European Central Bank to boost the economy, but the mission of the central bank is to stabilize prices," he said in an interview on Friday night. It runs counter to our position to boost the economy by cutting interest rates. Holzmann is one of the most hawkish central bankers. According to informed officials, the central bank plans to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points in January, and may do so in March.Intercontinental Exchange (ICE): In the week of December 10th, the net long position of ICE Brent crude oil held by speculators increased by 5,349 contracts to 162,273 contracts, a record high of more than two months. The net long position in sugar will reach a three-month low, and the net long position in Robusta Coffee will hit a four-week low, increasing the net long position in London Cocoa.Analysis of the influence of the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds falling below 2% on the stock market. After the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds fell below 2%, although there were many discussions from all sides, it basically had no influence on the stock market trend, and the stocks with high dividends remained flat and there was no obvious capital inflow. Some analysts believe that there are two reasons here. First, the funds invested in fixed-income products and the funds invested in the stock market generally belong to two types of funds, and they rarely operate across varieties. Even if the internal and external factors have changed, resulting in the need for mobility, but the specific implementation also needs a process, can not be immediate. Second, the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds fell below 2%, which also reflected some judgment of investors on the trend of interest rate in the market outlook, and this actually reflected the market's expectation of the growth rate of the real economy, which required greater countercyclical adjustment. (Securities Times)


The previous crude oil futures 2401 contract closed up 2.01% at 552.70 yuan/barrel. Shanghai Gold closed down 0.90% and Shanghai Bank closed down 1.36%.The yield of 10-year German bonds rose by 15 basis points this week. After the European Central Bank cut interest rates, the yield of 10-year Italian bonds rose by 20 basis points. At the end of the European market on Friday (December 13), the yield of 10-year German government bonds rose by 5.4 basis points, reaching a fresh high of 2.258%. This week, it rose by 15.0 basis points, and fluctuated around 2.120% in a narrow range from Monday to Wednesday. European Central Bank President Lagarde rose on Thursday. The yield of two-year German bonds rose by 5.1 basis points, reaching a new high of 2.072%. This week, it rose by 7.3 basis points, and it continued to fluctuate smoothly from Monday to Thursday. After Lagarde's press conference began, it retreated to a low level and further strengthened on Friday. The overall trading range was 1.915%-2.072%. The yield spread of 2/10-year German bonds rose by 0.144 basis points to +18.260 basis points, which fluctuated upward this week, with a cumulative increase of 7.953 basis points. The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 4.3 basis points, reaching a new high of 3.393%, and this week it rose by 20.0 basis points.Analysis of the influence of the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds falling below 2% on the stock market. After the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds fell below 2%, although there were many discussions from all sides, it basically had no influence on the stock market trend, and the stocks with high dividends remained flat and there was no obvious capital inflow. Some analysts believe that there are two reasons here. First, the funds invested in fixed-income products and the funds invested in the stock market generally belong to two types of funds, and they rarely operate across varieties. Even if the internal and external factors have changed, resulting in the need for mobility, but the specific implementation also needs a process, can not be immediate. Second, the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds fell below 2%, which also reflected some judgment of investors on the trend of interest rate in the market outlook, and this actually reflected the market's expectation of the growth rate of the real economy, which required greater countercyclical adjustment. (Securities Times)


Trump said that the Republican Party will do its best to cancel daylight saving time. "The Republican Party will do its best to cancel daylight saving time. There are not many supporters of daylight saving time, but it should not be like this, "President-elect Donald Trump said in a post on Truth Social.NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed down 1.13%, NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed down 1.13%, most popular Chinese stocks fell, Xpeng Motors fell more than 3%, LI, Pinduoduo, Bali, JD.COM fell more than 2%, and Alibaba and Weilai fell more than 1%. In terms of gains, Tiger Securities rose over 9% and Futu Holdings rose over 1%.Major European stock indexes closed down across the board, with Germany's DAX index down 0.10% to 20405.92, France's CAC40 index down 0.15% to 7409.57, and Britain's FTSE 100 index down 0.14% to 8300.33.

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